Click HERE to view our updated profile on Hemisphere Energy, one of the Canadian Juniors that has delivered over a 500% return for us. It should give us at least another double from here.
The stock closed Monday at $1.28Cdn for HME.V and $0.94US for HMENF, so the adjusted annual dividend yield is 7.8% on their based dividends of $0.025/quarter and I now think there is a good chance that Hemisphere will increase their based dividends this year. All of their bank debt has been paid off.
I have lowered my current valuation by $1.00Cdn to $3.00Cdn, which translates to approximately $2.25US. They are going to pay more cash income taxes this year than I was forecasting, and I lowered the valuation multiple to 6X, primarily because the Company is running out of development drilling locations within Atlee Buffalo. Other than the lack of “running room,” this Company is rock solid. It has a “pristine balance sheet,” generates a lot of free cash flow from operations and with both polymer floods now underway and working, production and proved reserves should ramp up for several more years with a minimal amount of capital expenditures each year.
By the end of 2024, the oil production at Altee Buffalo should level off at ~4,000 bopd and stay there for many years as the polymer floods sweep the two pools within Atlee Buffalo, doubling recoverable reserves. There is still a lot of oil in place to be recovered; ~16 million barrels per their year-end reserve report.
I did talk to Don Simmons on Monday. His team is looking for an accretive acquisition. If they don’t find an acceptable deal, I believe they will pay a fat “Special Dividend” at year-end.
Daniel M. Steffens, President
Energy Prospectus Group
Houston, Texas
281-435-8874
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